Hong Kong Stocks: What's Driving the Rally?

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As the new year unfolds, the Hong Kong stock market has made headlines with a remarkable performance, leaving many investors, including those with foresight about potential market shifts, wishing they had held their positions a little longerThe recent surge of almost 20% in the Hang Seng Index, especially since mid-January, has been a particularly poignant reminder of how quickly market dynamics can shift.

The reasons behind this impressive rally are complex and multi-facetedThe Hong Kong stock market operates as an offshore market, inherently sensitive to external influences, which is a narrative that has been further complicated by shifting geopolitical landscapesThe unexpected easing of core inflation in the United States in January played a crucial role in altering market sentimentThis phenomenon led to a decline in the dollar index and U.S. treasury yields, beginning around January 13th, effectively removing a layer of pressure on the Hong Kong market and allowing it to enjoy a favorable uptrend.

Concurrently, the Chinese central bank’s governor made headlines by announcing an intent to significantly bolster foreign exchange reserves allocated to assets in Hong KongThis marked a clear commitment from the Chinese government to provide substantial support for the Hong Kong market, effectively buoying investor confidenceAt the same time, there was a rush of funds into the market from various sources, notably from mainland investors who were eagerly capitalizing on historically low valuations.

For instance, southern-bound capital from the mainland, which had been a key player in this rally, posted record levels of net inflow - amounting to 152.19 billion Hong Kong dollars in just 30 trading days, closely trailing the record high set in 2021. It’s important to highlight that foreign capital has also displayed an optimistic attitude towards Hong Kong equities and other Chinese assetsNotably, David Tepper, the head of the hedge fund Appaloosa, has publicly encouraged investment in all things related to China, demonstrating the palpable shift in foreign sentiment.

The market has evolved into a dynamic playing field for technology stocks, particularly spurred by the rise of AI and DeepSeek, a significant catalyst for this latest investment wave

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Unlike prior trends which were largely driven by speculation, this time investors are witnessing tangible technology and product advancements that have been delivering results.

A remarkable aspect of the current tech rally is its broad scope; it's no longer confined to upstream sectors but has now permeated downstream applications as wellThe perception of Hong Kong's stock market has remarkably shifted from one of skepticism to one of optimism, opening the door for a reevaluation of the intrinsic value of quality Chinese assets.

Historically, from 2022 to early this year, the Hang Seng Index had not even managed an average price-to-earnings ratio of 10, which notably underperformed compared to the S&P 500. The expectations for tech giants such as Tencent and Alibaba had dwindled to a level comparable to utility stocks, showcasing an undeniable underestimation of their potential amidst macroeconomic difficulties and regulatory challenges.

The arrival of DeepSeek has catalyzed a fundamental reassessment of Chinese technology stocks across the board, empowering not just large-scale model enterprises but a host of firms operating in cloud computing, chips, and internet platformsNotably, what was previously overlooked was Alibaba’s underlying capabilities in AI-driven cloud computing, which have become increasingly apparent with their recent product launches and collaborations.

In addition, the healthcare sector, often overshadowed by more glitzy tech stocks, has exhibited remarkable resilience and capacity for growth within this environmentCompanies like BeiGene, with its innovative treatments, especially the drug Brukinsa, have demonstrated leading capabilities on a global scale, especially after integrating AI technology into their supply chain processesHowever, during downturns, many robust companies struggled due to pervasive pessimism, which has now begun to ease.

As liquidity improves and optimism returns, the healthcare sector is experiencing a recovery in its valuation, facilitated by a broader market shift away from risk-averse assets towards growth-oriented sectors.

For investors looking to ride this wave, there are numerous indices tracking tech stocks on the Hong Kong market

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